COVID Deaths Continue to Decline


by Calculated Risk on 5/09/2025 07:10:00 PM

Mortgage Rates
Note: Mortgage rates are from MortgageNewsDaily.com and are for top tier scenarios.

For deaths, I’m currently using 4 weeks ago for “now”, since the most recent three weeks will be revised significantly.

Note: “Effective May 1, 2024, hospitals are no longer required to report COVID-19 hospital admissions, hospital capacity, or hospital occupancy data.”  So, I’m no longer tracking hospitalizations.

COVID Metrics
  Now Week
Ago
Goal
Deaths per Week 337✅ 393 ≤3501
1my goals to stop weekly posts.
🚩 Increasing number weekly for Deaths.
✅ Goal met.


COVID-19 Deaths per Week
Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the weekly (columns) number of deaths reported since Jan 2023.

Although weekly deaths met the original goal to stop posting in June 2023 (low of 314 deaths), I’ve continued to post since deaths were above the goal again – and I’ll continue to post until weekly deaths are once again below the goal for several weeks.

Weekly deaths are steadily decreasing following the winter pickup and are nearing the lows of last June.

And here is a graph I’m following concerning COVID in wastewater as of May 8th:

COVID-19 Wastewater
This appears to be a leading indicator for COVID hospitalizations and deaths.  This is moving towards the lows last May.

Nationally COVID in wastewater is “Low”.


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