Rough Week For Bonds. No Help From Friendly Data

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Rough Week For Bonds. No Help From Friendly Data


1 Hour, 49 Min ago

Bonds managed to recover modestly after the initial yield spike in the morning hours, but nonetheless earned the honor of seeing the biggest week over week jump in 10yr yields since 1981 (note: some outlets are saying 2001 or 1987, but we’re not seeing that, and it doesn’t really matter.  It was a rough week, is the point). Looked at as a 2 week time frame, and it was on par with many other recent examples of moderately brisk selling.  That leaves the upcoming week and a half in a great position to let us know how freaked out we should be. 

    • Core MM PPI
      • -0.1 vs +0.3 f’cast, 0.1 prev
    • Core YY PPI
      • 3.3 vs 3.6 f’cast, 3.4 prev
    • Consumer Sentiment
    • 1yr inflation expectations
    • 5yr inflation expectations

09:34 AM

Losing ground despite softer PPI.  MBS down more than a quarter point and 10yr up 6.4bps at 4.496

12:51 PM

Nice reversal off weaker levels.  MBS now down only an eighth  and 10yr up only 2.2bps at 4.45

02:35 PM

Fizzling sideways now.  MBS down 7 ticks (.22) and 10yr up 6.7bps at 4.499


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