Daily Newsletter: Thursday July 24, 2025

After falling for 5 straight days leading into Tuesday, mortgage rates have now moved slightly higher on each of the past two days. As was the case with the improvement, the bounce back has been exceedingly modest in its pace. In fact, most borrowers will be seeing the same rates today vs last week with only minor changes in upfront costs. Today was the only day of the present week with any meaningful economic data. This is relevant because rates are based on bonds and economic data is a key source of motivation for bond movement, but it depends on the data in question.  For instance, next week’s big jobs report on Friday is guaranteed to result in some of the highest-volume bond market trading of the month.  It also has a higher chance than any other scheduled report to cause a big move in one direction or the other.  Contrast that to this week’s economic calendar and it’s a completely different story.  Even if we added every scheduled event together, it still wouldn’t surpass next week’s jobs report in terms of potential rate impact. This morning’s Jobless Claims report (NOT the same as next week’s much more important jobs report) was the first time this week that bonds even visibly reacted to data.   Jobless Claims were lower than expected. A stronger labor market tends to coincide with higher rates, all else equal. In today’s case, it made for a slight bump, but no major drama. After bottoming out on July 1st and bouncing higher through July 8th, rates have generally been sideways.   [thirtyyearmortgagerates]

Mortgage Rate Watch After falling for 5 straight days leading into Tuesday, mortgage rates have now moved slightly higher on each of the past two days. As was the case with the improvement, the bounce back has been exceedingly modest in its pace. In fact, most borrowers… (read more) MBS Commentary Jobless claims data continues to defy a majority of other labor market metrics in showing a remarkable lack of any signs of softening.  In fact, the 4 week average is now at a 13 week low.  While this isn’t the most highly consequential eco… (read more) Rob Chrisman July 24… While much of the nation swelters, if you live in Utah, it’s Pie and Beer Day. Uh, I mean, Pioneer Day. The average home in Utah now costs $517,000, a 1 percent increase from last year, per this article and very manageable. If this article (… (read more)