What’s Up With The Paradoxical CPI Reaction?

What’s Up With The Paradoxical CPI Reaction?

Heading into today’s data, we knew there was a possibility of two separate reactions–one for the top line CPI numbers and one for a deeper look at the internal components. Those internals show that tariffs are having an impact even though it was a smaller impact than many forecasters were expecting. Bonds didn’t seem to care at first. When a new glut of trades came online at the 9:30am NYSE open, that changed.  Both stocks and bonds sold off sharply starting at 9:30am and this move looks far more convincing that the initial rally.