Almanac Trader — NASDAQ & Russell 2000 have fared best in…

Over the last 54 years June has favored NASDAQ ranking sixth best with a 1.0% average gain, up 31 of 54 years (since 1971). This contributes to NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” which ends in June. However, June ranks near the bottom on the Dow Jones Industrials just above September since 1950 with an average loss of 0.2%. S&P 500 performs similarly poorly, ranking ninth, but with a 0.2% average gain. Small caps have tended to fare better in June. Russell 2000 has averaged 0.8% in the month since 1979 advancing 63.0% of the time. During the bear market in 2022, Russell 1000 and 2000 suffered their worst June losses ever, dropping 8.5% and 8.4% respectively. S&P 500 and NASDAQ also declined by over 8% that year.

June is the second worst DJIA month in post-election years, averaging a 1.0% loss with a record of fourteen full month declines in eighteen years. For S&P 500, June is #9 with an average loss of 0.5% (7-11 record). Post-election year June ranks #8 for NASDAQ and #7 for Russell 2000 with average gains of 0.8% and 1.2% respectively.

Not a subscriber? Sign up today to get a full run down of seasonal tendencies that occur throughout June in an easy-to-read calendar graphic with important economic release dates highlighted, Daily Market Probability Index bullish and bearish days, market trends around options expiration and holidays. In addition, the Monthly Vital Statistics Table combines stats for the Dow, S&P 500, NASDAQ, Russell 1000 and Russell 2000 and puts them all in a single location available at the click of a mouse.